- cross-posted to:
- ukrainianconflict@lemmit.online
- cross-posted to:
- ukrainianconflict@lemmit.online
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Two can play this game, Vlad. Also how did this become a Western proxy war and an Eastern price war at the same time?
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I don’t agree with your assessment of how things will shake out. The primary concern of north and south korea fighting in ukraine (I need a new bingo card) is that the fighting could trigger N Korean attacks at the boarder, which will destabilize the region, and allow China’s neighbors to step up their military positions for legitimate cause.
China’s window to attack Taiwan was after Russia took Ukraine - now they are probably recalculating their plans and building a billion drones. That should hold for a while.
My largest concern is trump winning, and europe finding an excuse to trigger article 5, dragging us all into war, so that trump either abandons the alliance and diminishes the US world standing (or biden if he refuses to aid). European nations know ukraine isn’t the first and isn’t the last, and they might as well fight a crippled russia when the US might intercede. If the US did blink, we’d see a loss of allies and Taiwan might as well assume they’re gone in 30 years, as Europe would ignore US aid requests.
South Korean president has been sitting on the fence for too long and now his neighbors have forced him to take a stance. But worst case scenario would be to have south Korean troops in Ukraine fighting a proxy way just because Korea is not NATO
… what? Korea hasn’t existed since 1945. North Korea isn’t part of NATO, sure. But South Korea IS part of NATO.
So, I’m unclear what you mean.
South Korea is just a “global partner” and protections afforded by NATO article 5 do not extend into “global partners”, only to “full members”. So, from a NATO perspective, it would be very convenient to send South Korean troops (or from any other non-NATO country) to reinforce Ukraine and avoid triggering Putin’s claims of direct NATO involvement. In any case, South Korean cooperation would be needed to help handle an eventual influx of North Korean defectors and POWs
South Korea has a lot of useful equipment and the supply chains (factories) to build a lot of it. That equipment is what Ukraine needs more than anything, ideally at a low price (or under generous loan terms)
